Uncertainty Quantification in Climate Modeling

Abstract

Uncertainty quantification in climate models is challenged by the sparsity and bifurcative character of the available climate data. To circumvent these challenges we propose a methodology that employs Bayesian inference to locate discontinuities in the model output, followed by an efficient propagation of uncertain quantities using spectral expansions of random parameters/fields. Stochastic emulators are used to assess the performance of the proposed approach.

Date
Jul 20, 2010
Event
Multiscale UQ Workshop at JHU
Location
Baltimore, MD