surrogate-modeling

Surrogate-enabled Parameter Calibration and Structural Error Estimation in Land Models

Poster

Active Machine Learning with Uncertainties and Gradients

Talk

Surrogate-enabled Sensitivity Analysis and Parameter Inference of High-Dimensional Models

Talk

Streamflow, Stomata, and Soil Pits: Sources of Inference for Complex Models with Fast, Robust Uncertainty Quantification

The scale and complexity of environmental and earth systems introduce an array of uncertainties that need to be systematically addressed. In numerical modeling, the ever-increasing complexity of representation of these systems confounds our ability …

Overview of Uncertainty Quantification Methods for Complex Models

Talk

Overview of Uncertainty Quantification Methods for Complex Models

Poster

Compressive Sensing with Cross-Validation and Stop-Sampling for Sparse Polynomial Chaos Expansions

Compressive sensing is a powerful technique for recovering sparse solutions of underdetermined linear systems, which is often encountered in uncertainty quantification analysis of expensive and high-dimensional physical models. We perform numerical …

Multifidelity Statistical Analysis of Large Eddy Simulations in Scramjet Computations

The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress towards optimal engine designs requires accurate and computationally affordable flow simulations, as well as uncertainty …

The Impact of Parametric Uncertainties on Biogeochemistry in the E3SM Land Model

We conduct a global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), land model (ELM) to calculate the sensitivity of five key carbon cycle outputs to 68 model parameters. This GSA is conducted by first constructing a …

Forward and Inverse Uncertainty Quantification for ALM Single Point Model

Poster